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Latest NHC Discussion

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 205 AM EDT Wed Jul 08 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

An area of low pressure, that is centered inland in South Carolina,

continues to produce a large area of disorganized rainshowers and heavy rain in parts of the southeastern United States. The low pressure center is expected to move east-northeastward toward the coast later today. It will turn northeastward near or just offshore of the Carolinas and the mid-Atlantic states on Thursday and Friday, where a tropical or subtropical cyclone may form, if the low pressure center moves over water. The low pressure center is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall that may cause flash flooding in parts of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. during the next few days. The chance of formation into a tropical cyclone, during the next 48 hours, is medium. Please read the Tropical Weather Outlook, at www.hurricanes.gov, for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 32W/34W from 19N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Saharan air and an associated low level wind surge have moved well ahead of this wave, and can be seen from 10N to 22N, across the Atlantic Ocean to 55W. Precipitation: this wave is moving through the ITCZ, with its associated precipitation.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 20N61W 14N63W 05N64W, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 150 nm to the west of the tropical wave from 05N to 07N. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 300 nm to the north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, in the Atlantic Ocean.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 73W/74W, from 22N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong is in Haiti. Scattered moderate to strong is within 90 nm on either side of the monsoon trough, from Costa Rica to the 73W/74W tropical wave. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is in the coastal plains/the coastal waters of Costa Rica and Nicaragua. The monsoon trough is along 09N/10N from 74W in Colombia beyond Costa Rica. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea, from Colombia to Nicaragua, and into the eastern Pacific Ocean. An upper level inverted trough extends from Nicaragua southward.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 84W/85W, from 19N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, near the northern part of the wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough passes through the coastal areas of Guinea- Bissau near 12N16W, to 12N22W. The ITCZ continues from 12N22W, to 13N28W, 06N40W, 05N46W, and to 07N57W. Precipitation: isolated to widely scattered moderate and locally strong is within 300 nm on either side of the ITCZ, from 45W eastward, and within 300 nm to the north of the ITCZ from 45W westward.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A broad surface ridge is along 26N/27N, from the lower Texas Gulf coast to Florida, and into the Atlantic Ocean. An upper level cyclonic circulation center is in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the SE corner of the area, and in the southern three-fourths of the area from 90W westward. An upper level ridge passes through southern Louisiana, to central Florida, toward the NW part of the Bahamas.

A surface ridge will remain centered in the Gulf of Mexico through the weekend, with the high pressure center fluctuating between the NW and the NE basin. This will allow for the continuation of moderate to fresh return flow to the west of 90W and moderate westerly winds in the NE parts of the basin. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the north central and NE Gulf will shift gradually to the NE of the area late tonight. Similar activity is forecast for the NE, and parts of the SE basin on Friday and Saturday, as the tail end of a frontal system moves across the area.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is along 20N61W 14N63W 05N64W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 150 nm to the west of the tropical wave from 05N to 07N. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 300 nm to the north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, in the Atlantic Ocean.

A 700 mb inverted trough extends from the SE Bahamas, through the Caribbean Sea, to Colombia. The inverted trough more or less coincides with the 73W/74W tropical wave. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is in the coastal waters of the Caribbean Sea side of Cuba from 81W eastward.

The monsoon trough is along 09N/10N from 74W in Colombia beyond Costa Rica. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea, from Colombia to Nicaragua, and into the eastern Pacific Ocean. An upper level inverted trough extends from Nicaragua southward.

A second tropical wave is along 73W/74W, from 22N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: widely scattered to scattered moderate and isolated strong is in Haiti. Scattered moderate to strong is within 90 nm on either side of the monsoon trough, from Costa Rica to the 73W/74W tropical wave. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is in the coastal plains/the coastal waters of Costa Rica and Nicaragua. A third tropical wave is along 84W/85W, from 19N southward. Precipitation: isolated moderate is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, near the northern part of the wave.

The surface ridge that is in the W Atlantic Ocean will strengthen from late Wednesday through Saturday. This will allow the continuation of fresh to strong tradewinds in the south central Caribbean Sea, increasing to near gale-force on Thursday and Friday nights. Strong winds, building seas and very active weather are expected in the NE Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Atlantic Ocean, from tonight through Wednesday, as a tropical wave moves across the area. These conditions will spread into the central Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and Thursday. Strong winds will pulse at night in the Gulf of Honduras from Friday night through the weekend.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

An upper level cyclonic circulation center is near 33N35W. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean from 22N northward between 23W and 46W. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible from 20N northward between 20W and 50W.

A frontal boundary is along 36N/37N from 50W westward. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 29N northward from 70W westward. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere from 29N northward between 40W and 70W.

A tropical wave moving across Puerto Rico and the adjacent waters will be accompanied by strong winds, building seas and very active weather tonight, and shift into the SE Bahamas and the adjacent waters on Wednesday night and Thursday. A surface ridge will strengthen across the region, from late Wednesday through Saturday. Moderate to fresh southerly winds will affect most of the area N of 23N from Wednesday through Saturday night. Low pressure in the SE U.S.A. will move NE. It will approach the coast of the Carolinas from Wednesday through Thursday. The trough will drag a trough across the northern Florida offshore waters.



Updated : 08/07/2020 09:59:01

2020 Storm Names

Storm Storm Name Storm Status
3
Christobal Allocated
6
Fay Allocated
7
Gonzalo Allocated

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At Metcheck we follow the tropical developments of the Atlantic very closely. Usually, during late summer we end up with remnants of Tropical Storms or even Hurricanes on the UK shores.

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To obtain the latest information on the developments simply click on the image.


The Atlantic Hurricane season runs from June 1st through to November 30th every year.

The impressive forecasters at the NHC issue constantly updated news and satellite images for any developments and we display them here.

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